Global Predictions Forecasting

Global Predictions uses ensemble models to forecast thousands of economic series world-wide

We combine a diversity of data sources into our World Simulation Engine to make informed predictions and forecasts about trends, markets, and risks

Model of Models

The Global Predictions model uses a large ensemble model approach to maintain a widespread understanding of what is happening in the macro economy at all times, predicted out 12 months into the future.

AI/ML + Economics

The Global Predictions model uses a mix of Machine Learning techniques, statistical forecasting, and classic economic models combined to make both accurate, dependable, and generalized forecasts. This mix avoids overfitting and the breadth allows for prediction of non-linear extreme or fat tailed scenarios.

Focused on Accuracy

Rather than trying to tell the most compelling narrative, we are focused on forecasting accuracy. We have strong fundamental hypotheses about how the world works, but always rigorously validate our models to see if those hypotheses bear out quantitatively. The forecast models are regularly back-tested, and measured against real-world data, across 10,000s of indicator time series.

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General Disclosures
Global Predictions provides investment advice only through its internet-based application, PortfolioPilot, and only to investors who are advisory clients of Global Predictions pursuant to written advisory Client Agreements (“Advisory Services”). The publicly available portions of the Platform (i.e., the sections of the Platform that are available to individuals who are not party to a Client Agreement - including globalpredictions.com and portions of portfoliopilot.com) are provided for educational purposes only and are not intended to provide legal, tax, or financial planning advice. To the extent that any of the content published on publicly available portions of the Platform may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person. Nothing on the publicly available portions of the Platform should be construed as a solicitation or offer, or recommendation, to buy or sell any security. All charts, figures, and graphs on the publicly available websites are for illustrative purposes only. Before investing, you should consider whether any investment, investment strategy, security, other asset, or related transaction is appropriate for you based on your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances, and risk tolerance. You are also encouraged to consult your legal, tax, or investment professional regarding your specific situation. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing involves risk. The value of your investment will fluctuate, and you may gain or lose money.

The contents of the Platform may contain forward-looking statements that are based on management’s beliefs, assumptions, current expectations, estimates, and projections about the financial industry, the economy, or Global Predictions itself. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of the underlying expected actions or future performance and future results may differ significantly from those anticipated by the forward-looking statements. Therefore, actual results and outcomes may materially differ from what may be expressed or forecasted in such forward-looking statements.

Note: our use of the term AI refers to all artificial intelligence models used including large language models, proprietary economic models that incorporate regression or dynamic factors, and machine learning methods like supervised learning.

1. Global Predictions Secures a Winning Spot in International M6 Financial Forecasting Competition

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