Tutorials

April 3, 2023

Unlocking Insights in Time Series Data: The Generative AI Challenge

Global Predictions is holding a generative AI challenge starting Tuesday, April 4 and running through the end of the month. Winner to receive $1,000. The goal is to summarize macroeconomic and/or financial time series data in chart headline / tweet format automatically.

March 1, 2023

Introducing PortfolioPilot Insights

Today, we are thrilled to announce the launch of PortfolioPilot Insights, a feed of essential macroeconomic insights that empowers you to make better investment decisions with increased confidence.

November 15, 2022

Announcing PortfolioPilot! First-of-its-kind Intelligent Portfolio Management Platform for Self-Directed Investors

See all your accounts in one place, quickly understand how your portfolio is doing, and improve your portfolio with personalized recommendations and one-click portfolio optimization.

September 23, 2022

Welcome Lisa Kraynak as a new advisor to Global Predictions

“Lisa is a world-class marketer and has been immensely helpful in guiding our consumer approach in building PortfolioPilot, our consumer wealth management platform,” said Alexander Harmsen, CEO and co-founder of Global Predictions. “With a lofty mission in democratizing access to traditionally gated investment tools and insights for self-directed investors, we are fortunate to have Lisa’s expertise.

June 28, 2022

Global Predictions: now available in Canada!

We’ve partnered with Questrade and Passiv to offer streamlined integrations. That means that users of Questrade, Wealthsimple, and RBC Direct Invest can seamlessly and securely link their accounts to PortfolioPilot, including their RRSPs and TFSAs (tax privileged accounts), and see all their investments, including the equity in their homes, in one place, in Canadian dollars. We’ve also added comprehensive coverage for Canadian securities, including Canadians equities and ETFs.

March 1, 2022

We’ve partnered with SnapTrade to support more investment accounts on Global Predictions

Global Predictions can now support more types of investment accounts via a recent partnership with SnapTrade. This means that users who hold investments with Questrade, Kraken, Webull, Alpaca, and many more can now include those assets within Global Predictions.

November 23, 2021

Global Predictions launches GP Portal v2: Personalized Recommendations, Auto-Optimization and Enhanced Risk Management

We’re launched GP Portal v2.0, which includes significant design enhancements that makes it easy for you to link and manage your investments, in addition to a number of significant backend and model enhancements. Now, you can see how your portfolio would perform in simulation, view recommendations, and see your existing portfolio reweighted to optimize its Sharpe Ratio.

November 18, 2021

Wall St joins forces with Silicon Valley: Reid Hartman (ex-Bridgewater) joins Global Predictions as Co-founder and Head of Quantitative Economics

Global Predictions is delighted to announce that Reid Hartman (ex-Bridgewater) has joined the company as Co-Founder and Head of Quantitative Economics. 

September 22, 2021

Inflation forecasts from Global Predictions now available on quiverquant.com/inflation

Global Predictions is pleased to announce a partnership with Quiver Quantitative, a leading provider of alternative data for retail investors. The first outcome of this partnership is an inflation dashboard, now live on the Quiver Quantitative site.

July 19, 2021

Press Release: Global Predictions raises $2M to bring elite hedge fund caliber economic models to data-hungry mainstream investors

Global Predictions today announced a $2M raise from Village Global, Morado Ventures and AME Cloud Ventures. The San Francisco-based startup uses the world’s largest macroeconomic model to bring hedge fund caliber models to retail and institutional investors.

September 3, 2020

Introducing Global Predictions

Presenting Global Prediction Inc, a company building the digital twin of the economy to forecast medium term worldwide events and conditions. Taking into account everything from public health and demographics to macroeconomics and market dynamics, this top down AI-hybrid model will change the way we see the economy...

March 17, 2023

Keep Your Money Safe: Tips for Protecting Your Investments during Bank Runs and Market Instability

TLDR: take any cash in bank accounts above deposit insurance (typically, $250K for the US institutions) and spread it across multiple institutions or park it in safe, short-term securities (not because there is impending doom, but because it is the prudent thing to do). Brokerage and retirement accounts are largely fine but use reputable institutions and don’t hold excess unallocated cash.

January 31, 2023

New Year, New Opportunities: A Checklist for Investors to Review and Improve Their Portfolio

The start of a new year is an excellent time for investors to review their financial goals and ensure they're on track to achieve them. Here are ten things investors should consider doing as we enter 2023:

December 1, 2022

Tax-loss Harvesting: How a Few Trades Now Could Save You Thousands of Dollars

One of the biggest mistakes self-directed investors make is not taking advantage of tax-loss harvesting, which involves offsetting gains with holdings that have incurred losses. For many investors they’re leaving money on the table if they don’t know how to optimize their tax bill.

November 8, 2022

What can we learn from recent hedge fund performance?

Every couple of years, when markets overall perform well, one starts to hear about the death of hedge funds. Investors who ‘no longer see the value’ either pull money out in droves or at least negotiate better terms, and the popular press decrees the end of an era. However, if you look under the hood right now, you’ll see that some funds are thriving. What sets them apart, and what can we learn from their performance?

October 20, 2022

Hybrid Investing: A Fresh Take on Portfolio Management for Retail Investors

Over the past several decades, conventional wisdom that investors could not beat an efficient market led to the rise of index mutual funds and then the boom of ETFs, and newer offerings such as robo-advisors have made constructing passive portfolios even easier and more tax-efficient; however, our view is that strict passivity leaves personalization and better returns on the table.

October 19, 2022

Active and Passive Investing: Is there an alternative for self-directed investors?

There’s an allure to hand-picking stocks with the hopes of finding the next big one. No thanks to the financial media, there is a fear of missing out – but the simple truth is that it’s very difficult to outperform the market. Even actively managed funds struggle to do so.

September 22, 2022

How to Invest During High Inflation

As an investor, you should understand how inflation — and the surrounding economic regime — can impact your investments in order to manage your portfolio. Inflation-linked bonds, commodities, certain equities, and real estate are reasonable candidates to do well in many inflationary environments.

April 1, 2022

Lessons Learned from “COVID Economics” and the Path Forward for Investors

Two years into the COVID-19 pandemic, investors continue to grapple with the challenges it has borne upon the global economy. How did we get here, how do we understand the current situation, and what should investors do in response?

March 29, 2022

Evaluating Risk Like a Hedge Fund Manager

Three lessons from a hedge fund manager on how they evaluate and optimize risk in their portfolios, and a link to the "5 Secrets to thinking like a hedge fund manager"

December 29, 2021

Managing your finances in 2022 with Global Predictions: tips for the New Year

5 ways you can start 2022 on good financial footing using the GP Portal to help control your investments and financial health

February 21, 2021

Why broken socio-economic forecasting needs an overhaul

2020 was a year of unprecedented events, from the Australian wildfires which began the year to the COVID-19 pandemic which consumed most of it. Some of these events were predicted well in advance and represented intensifications of existing trends, particularly those concerning environmental disasters resulting from climate change. Others, however, were seen as “unpredictable” and defying of conventional wisdom pushed through official channels of expertise. To name but a few, the continued rise of the stock market, the increased pace of housing starts and sales despite the pandemic, and the so-called “K-shaped” economic recovery coming from it, went against the expectations of many institutional actors, suggesting a disconnect between institutional predictive analysis and what’s actually happening in the world...

November 10, 2021

More data, more insights

Using Global Predictions is like having 20 data analysts, connecting the best of macro-research and diverse data sources about the economy with the specifics of your financial goals, as represented within your portfolio

November 3, 2021

What’s portfolio tuning, anyway?

Global Predictions can give you personalized recommendations about how to tune your investments to best align your investment objectives with your asset allocation. Find out what kind of suggestions are waiting for you!

August 10, 2021

Case Study: How using Global Predictions helped one early-30s individual investor manage her portfolio

"Past performance does not guarantee future results, and she realized there had to be a better way to push past the front page of her financial news sources and begin to understand the economic relationships she was seeing reflected in her portfolio of stocks, ETFs and commodities."

October 9, 2022

Tutorial: Managing Portfolios

This tutorial explains how to add, remove, edit portfolios and connected accounts to make it easier to manage your entire net worth inside the platform.

October 3, 2022

Tutorial: Tax at Sale

A tutorial explaining the exciting new Tax at Sale feature, showing you how much estimated tax is owed if you were to sell a given security today.

September 30, 2022

Tutorial: Unlinking Investment Account

A tutorial on how to disconnect an investment account in the rare case you need to do so.

September 27, 2022

Tutorial: Navigating the Overview Page

A glance at the Overview page, the first screen you see after you sign up or log in to your account. Very useful information to get your portfolio improvement process started.

September 19, 2022

Tutorial: Security Explorer

An overview tutorial on the PortfolioPilot Security Explorer, a helpful tool to drill in to specific securities information for curious users that want to get as close to the data as possible.

September 2, 2022

Tutorial: Portfolio Optimizer

A short tutorial on how to use the Portfolio Optimizer, an easy-to-use powerful tool to reweight your portfolio to optimize your risk-adjusted returns.

September 1, 2022

Tutorial: Draft Portfolio

A tutorial about the Draft Portfolio feature, allowing you to 1) safely experiment with your portfolio, 2) add recommendations and improve your Portfolio Score, and 3) try different investment strategies.

August 24, 2022

Tutorial: Portfolio Score

Dive into the components of the Portfolio Score, a central measure to help balance your personal investment preferences, risk & returns, and macro exposure as a guide for portfolio improvement.

August 16, 2022

Tutorial: Manual Input

A quick tutorial on how to all investment items in a brokerage account manually in less than two minutes.

August 12, 2022

Tutorial: Three Popular Features

Learn more about to use the Portfolio Score, Recommendations, and Portfolio Optimizer to improve your investment portfolio.

December 9, 2021

Simulating a Crisis: Using Global Predictions Portal to See How Resilient Your Portfolio Is

A breakdown of our newest released feature: Global Crisis Simulation. See how your own portfolio fares during multiple crises and how resilient your current strategy is.

September 27, 2021

The Power of Personalization + Prediction: How linking your investment accounts gives you personalized recommendations

You can unlock the powers of personalization by linking your account to Global Predictions. Using “read only access” we can assemble a full picture of your financial holdings and give you automatic and personalized recommendations. This blog shows you how.

June 11, 2021

Information to Action: Informing Investment Decisions Using Global Predictions

Global Predictions is a data insights platform that makes it easy to conduct accessible, data informed research on the state of the economy and its impact on specific financial products. That means that Global Predictions can help you cut through the noise and connect the dots between what thousands of data sources are seeing in the global economy, and what that means for your investment portfolio. Typically, these data sources, proprietary models and portfolio management tools are only accessible to professionals. With Global Predictions, advanced models, up to data relevant data sources, and unbiased forecasts are at your fingertips.