Our perspectives on the global economy, bias, machine learning, and complex systems in the form of blog posts, articles, case studies, and press releases.
Case Study: How using Global Predictions helped one early-30s individual investor manage her portfolio
"Past performance does not guarantee future results, and she realized there had to be a better way to push past the front page of her financial news sources and begin to understand the economic relationships she was seeing reflected in her portfolio of stocks, ETFs and commodities."
Press Release: Global Predictions raises $2M to bring elite hedge fund caliber economic models to data-hungry mainstream investors
Global Predictions today announced a $2M raise from Village Global, Morado Ventures and AME Cloud Ventures. The San Francisco-based startup uses the world’s largest macroeconomic model to bring hedge fund caliber models to retail and institutional investors.
Information to Action: Informing Investment Decisions Using Global Predictions
Global Predictions is a data insights platform that makes it easy to conduct accessible, data informed research on the state of the economy and its impact on specific financial products. That means that Global Predictions can help you cut through the noise and connect the dots between what thousands of data sources are seeing in the global economy, and what that means for your investment portfolio. Typically, these data sources, proprietary models and portfolio management tools are only accessible to professionals. With Global Predictions, advanced models, up to data relevant data sources, and unbiased forecasts are at your fingertips.
Why broken socio-economic forecasting needs an overhaul
2020 was a year of unprecedented events, from the Australian wildfires which began the year to the COVID-19 pandemic which consumed most of it. Some of these events were predicted well in advance and represented intensifications of existing trends, particularly those concerning environmental disasters resulting from climate change. Others, however, were seen as “unpredictable” and defying of conventional wisdom pushed through official channels of expertise. To name but a few, the continued rise of the stock market, the increased pace of housing starts and sales despite the pandemic, and the so-called “K-shaped” economic recovery coming from it, went against the expectations of many institutional actors, suggesting a disconnect between institutional predictive analysis and what’s actually happening in the world...
Introducing Global Predictions
Presenting Global Prediction Inc, a company building the digital twin of the economy to forecast medium term worldwide events and conditions. Taking into account everything from public health and demographics to macroeconomics and market dynamics, this top down AI-hybrid model will change the way we see the economy...