Our perspectives on the global economy, bias, machine learning, and complex systems in the form of blog posts, articles, case studies, and press releases.
Lessons Learned from “COVID Economics” and the Path Forward for Investors
Two years into the COVID-19 pandemic, investors continue to grapple with the challenges it has borne upon the global economy. How did we get here, how do we understand the current situation, and what should investors do in response?
Evaluating Risk Like a Hedge Fund Manager
Three lessons from a hedge fund manager on how they evaluate and optimize risk in their portfolios, and a link to the "5 Secrets to thinking like a hedge fund manager"
We’ve partnered with SnapTrade to support more investment accounts on Global Predictions
Global Predictions can now support more types of investment accounts via a recent partnership with SnapTrade. This means that users who hold investments with Questrade, Kraken, Webull, Alpaca, and many more can now include those assets within Global Predictions.
Managing your finances in 2022 with Global Predictions: tips for the New Year
5 ways you can start 2022 on good financial footing using the GP Portal to help control your investments and financial health
Simulating a Crisis: Using Global Predictions Portal to See How Resilient Your Portfolio Is
A breakdown of our newest released feature: Global Crisis Simulation. See how your own portfolio fares during multiple crises and how resilient your current strategy is.
Global Predictions launches GP Portal v2: Personalized Recommendations, Auto-Optimization and Enhanced Risk Management
We’re launched GP Portal v2.0, which includes significant design enhancements that makes it easy for you to link and manage your investments, in addition to a number of significant backend and model enhancements. Now, you can see how your portfolio would perform in simulation, view recommendations, and see your existing portfolio reweighted to optimize its Sharpe Ratio.
Wall St joins forces with Silicon Valley: Reid Hartman (ex-Bridgewater) joins Global Predictions as Co-founder and Head of Quantitative Economics
Global Predictions is delighted to announce that Reid Hartman (ex-Bridgewater) has joined the company as Co-Founder and Head of Quantitative Economics.
More data, more insights
Using Global Predictions is like having 20 data analysts, connecting the best of macro-research and diverse data sources about the economy with the specifics of your financial goals, as represented within your portfolio
What’s portfolio tuning, anyway?
Global Predictions can give you personalized recommendations about how to tune your investments to best align your investment objectives with your asset allocation. Find out what kind of suggestions are waiting for you!
The Power of Personalization + Prediction: How linking your investment accounts gives you personalized recommendations
You can unlock the powers of personalization by linking your account to Global Predictions. Using “read only access” we can assemble a full picture of your financial holdings and give you automatic and personalized recommendations. This blog shows you how.
Inflation forecasts from Global Predictions now available on quiverquant.com/inflation
Global Predictions is pleased to announce a partnership with Quiver Quantitative, a leading provider of alternative data for retail investors. The first outcome of this partnership is an inflation dashboard, now live on the Quiver Quantitative site.
Case Study: How using Global Predictions helped one early-30s individual investor manage her portfolio
"Past performance does not guarantee future results, and she realized there had to be a better way to push past the front page of her financial news sources and begin to understand the economic relationships she was seeing reflected in her portfolio of stocks, ETFs and commodities."
Press Release: Global Predictions raises $2M to bring elite hedge fund caliber economic models to data-hungry mainstream investors
Global Predictions today announced a $2M raise from Village Global, Morado Ventures and AME Cloud Ventures. The San Francisco-based startup uses the world’s largest macroeconomic model to bring hedge fund caliber models to retail and institutional investors.
Information to Action: Informing Investment Decisions Using Global Predictions
Global Predictions is a data insights platform that makes it easy to conduct accessible, data informed research on the state of the economy and its impact on specific financial products. That means that Global Predictions can help you cut through the noise and connect the dots between what thousands of data sources are seeing in the global economy, and what that means for your investment portfolio. Typically, these data sources, proprietary models and portfolio management tools are only accessible to professionals. With Global Predictions, advanced models, up to data relevant data sources, and unbiased forecasts are at your fingertips.
Why broken socio-economic forecasting needs an overhaul
2020 was a year of unprecedented events, from the Australian wildfires which began the year to the COVID-19 pandemic which consumed most of it. Some of these events were predicted well in advance and represented intensifications of existing trends, particularly those concerning environmental disasters resulting from climate change. Others, however, were seen as “unpredictable” and defying of conventional wisdom pushed through official channels of expertise. To name but a few, the continued rise of the stock market, the increased pace of housing starts and sales despite the pandemic, and the so-called “K-shaped” economic recovery coming from it, went against the expectations of many institutional actors, suggesting a disconnect between institutional predictive analysis and what’s actually happening in the world...
Introducing Global Predictions
Presenting Global Prediction Inc, a company building the digital twin of the economy to forecast medium term worldwide events and conditions. Taking into account everything from public health and demographics to macroeconomics and market dynamics, this top down AI-hybrid model will change the way we see the economy...