Why broken socio-economic forecasting needs an overhaul

February 21, 2021
2020 was a year of unprecedented events, from the Australian wildfires which began the year to the COVID-19 pandemic which consumed most of it. Some of these events were predicted well in advance and represented intensifications of existing trends, particularly those concerning environmental disasters resulting from climate change. Others, however, were seen as “unpredictable” and defying of conventional wisdom pushed through official channels of expertise. To name but a few, the continued rise of the stock market, the increased pace of housing starts and sales despite the pandemic, and the so-called “K-shaped” economic recovery coming from it, went against the expectations of many institutional actors, suggesting a disconnect between institutional predictive analysis and what’s actually happening in the world...

Introducing Global Predictions

September 3, 2020
Presenting Global Prediction Inc, a company building the digital twin of the economy to forecast medium term worldwide events and conditions. Taking into account everything from public health and demographics to macroeconomics and market dynamics, this top down AI-hybrid model will change the way we see the economy...