FAQs
Currently, Global Predictions doesn’t actively manage money. We’ve been focused on building a strong quantitative foundation through data and models, and now applying them to help individuals manage their portfolios. We have large future ambitions, however, applying these models to use cases across insurance, institutional investors, and government policy-making. If you are interested in being contacted for future product offerings like a hedge fund or a Global Predictions managed ETF, please reach out to contact@globalpredictions.com.
Our simulations feature demonstrates how your selected portfolio would perform through various economic conditions. The system currently supports three scenarios: Dot-com/Tech Bubble, the Global Financial Crisis, and the Covid-19 Pandemic.

The system will use our broad macroeconomic models to understand the performance of your specific portfolio and the recovery time, in comparison to indexes like the S&P 500 and a traditional 60/40 (60% equities, 40% bonds). The simulations feature helps you optimize your portfolio in the long-run and prepare for various economic conditions.
How does Global Predictions’ forecast my investments performance?
Global Predictions takes an innovative approach to forecasting investment performance. Using our thoroughly tested hybrid-AI economic models, the system finds drivers (macroeconomic factors, industry trends, businesses, etc.) influencing each of your securities. This process is visualized through our portfolio graph, found on the overview page.

Every green node represents a primary driver behind your investments, while yellow nodes represent secondary drivers. The Portfolio Management system understands how these drivers influence your investment to forecast the performance of your portfolio using our forecasting models. You can learn more about our underlying data and modeling in the Economy Exploration portion of the Portfolio Management portal.
Start by signing up or logging into our portfolio management system, called PortfolioPilot. After completing an onboarding flow so our system can personalize your insights, you will see a portfolio overview.
Follow these steps:
- If you have not connected your investment account yet, visit the Connected Accounts page.
- Once you have connected your portfolio, click ‘Optimize’
- Press ‘Save as Draft Portfolio’ to save your optimized current portfolio as a draft.

- You can now explore the performance of your portfolio with the changes in your Draft Portfolio.
- Once you have completed the trades in your investment portfolio, click ‘Trade’ (see the picture above).
- In the ‘Trade’ menu, click ‘Trades Completed’ to re-sync your portfolio with the updated changes.

The portfolio score is Global Predictions’ proprietary method of objectively calculating how good a given portfolio is. We find it extremely useful as a "North Star" to guide your investment process and the system uses it to globally optimize your portfolio. It is calculated by taking into account: 1) how your portfolio's risk matches your portfolio, 2) your investments' Sharpe Ratio (expected returns over risk), and 3) your portfolio's Downside Protection. After making changes to your portfolio on Global Predictions PortfolioPilot, the Portfolio Score will be updated to reflect how your changes will impact your portfolio.
The PortfolioPilot, powered by Global Predictions technology, is a tool that provides investors with hedge fund caliber insights to improve your portfolio and net worth. We have built the system to be very easy to use and suitable for all investors. This portfolio management platform simultaneously improves returns, decreases risk, and diversifies investments with features like recommendations, simulations, and expected performance optimization. Global Predictions’ goal is to provide investors with high-quality, easy-to-use quantitative wealth management tools focused on top-down, macro insights to improve long-term portfolio performance.
Our system uses Global Predictions’ comprehensive Recommendation Engine to connect your portfolio and investor preferences with changes in the global economy. The engine is built upon 50,000 data streams, providing investors with personalized insights, portfolio simulations, optimization, and risk exposure. To help investors intuitively understand their performance, we calculate a portfolio score by matching your preferred risk with your portfolio, computing a Sharpe ratio, and understanding your portfolio's downside protection.
To learn more about our models and data streams backing the Recommendation Engine, we encourage you to visit our Economy Exploration tool.
PortfolioPilot uses a sandbox environment, enabling you to compare changes across your many portfolios. After creating a Draft, you can act on recommendations, manually change securities, and optimize your portfolio. Once you make changes to your Draft, you can compare your Portfolio Score between your Aggregated Portfolio and Draft Portfolio. Since Global Predictions has read-only access to your investments, you must execute trades in your brokerage account yourself after you finalize your Draft.
To get started with Draft Portfolios, press ‘Copy’ after selecting your Aggregated Portfolio and follow the instructions on screen. You have now created your first Draft Portfolio!

Unfortunately, as part of our Questrade partnership there are restrictions on the type of suggestions and recommendations that can be displayed to users (as per IIROC OEO rules). As long as you have a connected Questrade account the explicit portfolio recommendations will not be available. We are working to enable more functionality that would allow users to identify a portfolio problem and find options to resolve it.
Your portfolio's total expected return is calculated by taking a weighted sum of the expected returns of the underlying securities in your portfolio (visible on the Details page). The expected return figures for each security are calculated by the Global Predictions forecasting model. The Global Predictions model uses a large ensemble approach (combining ML, statistical, CAPM, and economic models) to maintain a widespread understanding of what is happening in the economy at all times, predicted out 2-12 months into the future. These models are continuously being tested and improved, and are built on top of the time-tested Global Predictions infrastructure and GP Knowledge Graph. The model outputs include both expected returns and risk, allowing risk to play a massive role in the product's analysis and recommendations (eg. a 8% +/- 20% return is very different than a 5% +/- 2% return). This approach is similar to what you might find at top-tier systematic macro hedge funds. Read more about the technology that powers the entire system here.