FAQs

What is Global Predictions?

Global Predictions’ goal is to help all investors protect & grow their wealth and make better investing decisions by providing an investing framework and robust, big-picture view of what matters in their portfolio and the economy at large, with the help of easy-to-use top-tier automated financial models and tools. We provide investors with all the tools they need to manage their portfolios. Our system synthesizes data from ten of thousands of data sources, providing our users with the information they need.

How can I start using the Portfolio Management tool?

The first step in improving your portfolio is to sign up for a free account here.

After creating an account, Global Predictions will ask you a series of questions so our system can provide you with personalized investment insights. We highly recommend connecting your accounts and importing your portfolio to access the full experience.

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Learn more about importing your portfolio and how Global Predictions keeps your data secure in the Importing Your Portfolio tab.

How does Global Predictions’ Portfolio Management system help me?

The Portfolio Management system simplifies the complicated investing process to improve performance while easing your stress. The platform allows you to connect all components of your net worth (multiple portfolios, real-estate, crypto, etc.). After understanding your investor profile, the system uses a recommendation engine backed by hedge fund caliber insights to provide personalized suggestions, portfolio optimization, visualize diversification, and much more. We produce a personalized portfolio score to intuitively understand how changes to your investments will impact the overall portfolio.

Why is the Global Predictions model succeeding where many others have failed?

Most groups building quantitative investment models do so for the purpose of short-term investment value; basically, they build many simple, bottom-up "good enough" models to make money now, not focused on long term gains. Since we’re not focused on day trading, we can focus on building a top-down, high-quality data and modeling product that will generate value for our users over the long-term course of many economic cycles and investment conditions. We believe that by using hybrid-AI models and a modern data architecture, we can capture the long-term relationships that existing models simply don’t care about, and pass that value onto our users through better insights and recommendations.

Why are you building Global Predictions?

We’re building Global Predictions to help all types of investors better understand the economy for the purpose of investing, planning and managing risk. Our models are currently calibrated to help individual investors navigate specific challenges in personal investing and wealth management. Over time, our models will diversify and become more useful to more stakeholders and accomplish our company mission of reducing all external investment risk to promote growth worldwide. To learn more about the company and the team, check out our About Us page here.

Why is Global Predictions free for individual investors?

We believe that there has been information asymmetry between individuals and institutional investors for far too long. Even though there are well established business models selling data and market insight to institutions, making these types of insights available to individuals who have highly personal investment objectives is a relatively new type of business. That means we’re learning with and from users about how to best interact with our economic models, running simulations, and applying insights directly to their portfolios. Global Predictions is currently free to remove any barriers for interested users to interact with our platform and make sure that we deliver the best results to 100,000s of users.

Does the usefulness of the models, data, insights, or forecasts decrease if more people have access to them?

No. The Global Predictions system is modeling and forecasting what will actually happen across public health, macroeconomics, and financial markets over the course of the next 2-12 months. We are not simply trying to generate a buy/sell signal like most alpha strategies in the market. This absolute forecasting approach actually means that as more people trust and use the insights from the core models, there are network effects and the forecast accuracy will increase over time.

How do I import my investments?

After signing up for an account, you will be prompted to connect your portfolio during the onboarding. You can also add as many accounts as needed here.

You can choose to upload your investment portfolio in two ways: syncing your investment accounts or manually uploading your investments by csv. We recommend syncing your accounts to maximize use of our system and make it easy to get regular updates.

After clicking the link above, you can select ‘Add Account’ to import your first portfolio.

Why do I need to connect my account to get investment insights?

Global Predictions has three main sources of input: 1) our models & economic data, 2) your existing investments, and 3) information you have shared about your risk appetite and investing preferences. That means that by linking your existing investment account(s), we can personalize recommendations to align your preferences with specific changes to your portfolio. Remember, Global Predictions has read-only access to your investment accounts and cannot make changes on your behalf. Only you can make real trades within your portfolio.

How does Global Predictions keep my data secure?

Global Predictions is serious about security. We are Norton certified to ensure our user’s data is secure. We do not store any bank information or login details and do not have access to automatically manage your investments - you are always in control.

To import your portfolio, we use Plaid, a product used by over 10 million users worldwide to connect to more than 200 million accounts. Learn more about how Plaid keeps your data secure.

How can I improve my portfolio?

Global Predictions provides you with many avenues to improve your portfolio score (our intelligent analysis of your portfolio).

For automatic, personalized improvements visit the recommendation page. The system points out suggested improvements, lowest performers, and ETFs to increase returns and improve diversification. With a click of a button, you can understand how these recommendations will impact your portfolio.

When seeking insights to improve your portfolio, you have many options:

Global Predictions simulations provide insight into how an investor’s portfolio would have performed during major economic events, such as the Dot-Com/Tech Bubble. The tool demonstrates portfolio performance, recovery time, comparable data, and portfolio performance for the next few years after the economic event.

In the overview page, you can see the expected performance of your entire portfolio over the next 6 months. The portal also provides you with a variety of exposure profiles.

Our system calculates a correlation matrix between all of your investments, helping investors determine if they should diversify any individual holdings to decrease correlation and increase their Downside Protection score.

The Global Predictions Portfolio Management portal has a multitude of other features. We highly recommend you explore the product to increase returns and decrease risk. If you have any questions, we encourage you to reach out to support@globalpredictions.com.

What does Global Predictions do with my data?

When you connect your investment accounts, we compile an aggregated view of your investments and start looking for patterns and opportunities for diversification aligned with your stated investment objectives. We do not have a model portfolio we’re trying to align you with, nor do we have a relationship with the managers of any of the ETFs or mutual funds we might recommend as part of an investment strategy. Your investments and preferences are used solely for the purpose of generating tailored, timely insights to align your goals with what’s in your portfolio and what's happening in the economy.

How do I import my Interactive Brokers portfolio?

In order to connect your Interactive Brokers portfolio, you will first need to activate third-party services in your Interactive Brokers account.

In Interactive Brokers, follow steps below:

Click Settings > Account Settings > Reporting > Third-Party Services.
Next, click the gear icon.
Activate any of the services to receive a token and query ID.

In Global Predictions

Visit this page in our Portfolio Management system.
Click ‘Add Account’.
Select Interactive Brokers.
Login to your account.
Enter the token and query ID you received to import your portfolio.

If you have any questions, please reach out to us at support@globalpredictions.com.

Can I add my Charles Schwab account?

Charles Schwab requires users to disable two factor authentication to connect to third-party services. Unfortunately, this is a limitation we cannot work around.

If you have any questions, we encourage you to reach out to support@globalpredictions.com.

How do I connect my Fidelity Investments account?

Start by visiting this page to connect your portfolio. After clicking ‘Connect Account’, you will be prompted to search for your banking institution.

Next, follow these steps:

Search for Fidelity and select the correct account you invest in.
Enter your Fidelity username and password
After logging in, your investments will be synced with our portfolio management system.

If you have any questions, reach out to us at support@globalpredictions.com.

How do I add a TD Ameritrade account to my portfolio?

Visited the ‘Connected Accounts’ tab to add an account. You will be prompted to search for an institution.

Follow these steps:

Search for TD Ameritrade and select the service your investments are in.
Enter your TD Ameritrade username and password
Log in to sync your investments with our portfolio management tool.

If you have any questions, we encourage you to reach out to support@globalpredictions.com.

What are Draft Portfolios?

Our Portfolio Management System uses a sandbox environment, enabling you to compare changes across your many portfolios. After creating a Draft, you can act on recommendations, manually change securities, or optimize your portfolio. Once you make changes to your Draft, you can compare your Portfolio Scores between your Main and Draft. Since Global Predictions has read-only access to your investments, you must execute trades in your brokerage account after you finalize your draft.

To get started with Draft Portfolios, press ‘Copy’ after selecting your Main Portfolio. You have now created your first Draft Portfolio!

What is the Portfolio Management system?

The Global Predictions Portfolio Management system is a tool that provides investors with hedge fund caliber insights to improve your portfolio and net worth. We have built the system to be very easy to use and suitable for all investors. The Portfolio Management system simultaneously improves returns, decreases risk, and diversifies investments with features like recommendations, simulations, and expected performance optimization. Global Predictions’ goal is to provide investors with high-quality, easy-to-use quantitative wealth management tools focused on top-down, macro insights to improve long-term portfolio performance.

Our system uses Global Predictions’ comprehensive Recommendation Engine to connect your portfolio and investor preferences with changes in the global economy. The engine is built upon 50,000 data streams, providing investors with personalized insights, portfolio simulations, optimization, and risk exposure. To help investors intuitively understand their performance, we calculate a portfolio score by matching your preferred risk with your portfolio, computing a sharpe ratio, and understanding your portfolio's downside protection.

To learn more about our models and data streams backing the Recommendation Engine, we encourage you to visit our Economy Exploration tool.

What is the portfolio score?

The portfolio score is Global Predictions’ proprietary method of objectively calculating how good a given portfolio is. We find it extremely useful as a "North Star" to guide your investment process and the system uses it to globally optimize your portfolio. It is calculated by taking into account: 1) how your portfolio's risk matches your portfolio, 2) your investments' sharpe ratio (expected returns over risk), and 3) your portfolio's downside protection. After making changes to your portfolio on Global Predictions, the portfolio score will be updated to reflect how your changes will impact your portfolio.

How do I optimize the weighting of my portfolio?

Start by signing up or logging into our portfolio management system. After completing an onboarding flow so our system can personalize your insights, you will see a portfolio overview.

Follow these steps:

If you have not connected your investment account yet, visit the Connected Accounts page.
Once you have connected your portfolio, click ‘Optimize’
Press ‘Save as Draft Portfolio’ to save your optimized current portfolio as a draft.

You can now explore the performance of your portfolio with the changes in your Draft Portfolio.
Once you have completed the trades in your investment portfolio, click ‘Trade’ (see the picture above).
In the ‘Trade’ menu, click ‘Trades Completed’ to re-sync your portfolio with the updated changes.

What are Global Predictions’ simulations?

Our simulations feature demonstrates how your selected portfolio would perform through various economic conditions. The system currently supports three scenarios: Dot-com/Tech Bubble, the Global Financial Crisis, and the Covid-19 Pandemic.

The system will use our broad macroeconomic models to understand the performance of your specific portfolio and the recovery time, in comparison to indexes like the S&P 500 and a traditional 60/40 (60% equities, 40% bonds). The simulations feature helps you optimize your portfolio in the long-run and prepare for various economic conditions.

How does Global Predictions’ forecast my investments performance?

Global Predictions takes an innovative approach to forecasting investment performance. Using our thoroughly tested hybrid-AI economic models, the system finds drivers (macroeconomic factors, industry trends, businesses, etc.) influencing each of your securities. This process is visualized through our portfolio graph, found on the overview page.

Every green node represents a primary driver behind your investments, while yellow nodes represent secondary drivers. The Portfolio Management system understands how these drivers influence your investment to forecast the performance of your portfolio using our forecasting models. You can learn more about our underlying data and modeling in the Economy Exploration portion of the Portfolio Management portal.

If Global Predictions has investable insights, why don’t you run a hedge fund?

Currently, Global Predictions doesn’t actively manage money. We’ve been focused on building a strong quantitative foundation through data and models, and now applying them to help individuals manage their portfolios. We have large future ambitions, however, applying these models to use cases across insurance, institutional investors, and government policy-making. If you are interested in being contacted for future product offerings like a hedge fund or a Global Predictions managed ETF, please sign up for our waitlist here.

For more help, contact support@globalpredictions.com.

FAQs

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